yea I thought about that too, especialy if you take into consideration Lyoto looks in the best shape ever, if he can keep it standing his counterkicking may verywell outclass Jonny's standup, Machida should be used to the kicks that jonny throws, and if he has better skill (which he has) and jump further and more quickly he'll surely win the fight.
but we don't know the last 2 factors and also don't know if he can keep it standing, it might just be jonny by ground and pound R 1
but GL with the bet